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FC Hegelmann vs Banga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sato M.
Assist: Magdusauskas V.
37'
Nathan Silva
38'
Magdusauskas V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
37%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Banga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Banga lately — more wins on the board than FC Hegelmann.
  • Model gives FC Hegelmann a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 16%
Banga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Banga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Banga
1:1
Jun 28, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FC Hegelmann
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FC Hegelmann
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Banga
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Banga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Shchedryi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 36 / 100
Banga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Banga has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Hegelmann has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS Banga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
18 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 1
FC Hegelmann
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
Page 1 of 6

Banga

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Panevezys
2 : 1
Banga
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)