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FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Hegelmann host FK Kauno Zalgiris in the TOPLYGA. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Hegelmann have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against FK Kauno Zalgiris's 1.67 scored and 0.91 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Hegelmann have won 0 to FK Kauno Zalgiris's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.13) point toward FK Kauno Zalgiris. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
49%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann haven't matched FK Kauno Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Kauno Zalgiris a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 13 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:0
Jun 14, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
5:0
Oct 1, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Hegelmann remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FK Kauno Zalgiris let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0.83 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)