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Stadium Background

FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
FC Hegelmann Logo

FC Hegelmann

1 - 3
FT
FK Panevezys Logo

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Paulauskas V. In: Asamoah K.
Out: Paulauskas V.
39' Event
Asante I.
Assist: Rasimavicius R.
46'
Sub
Richard In: Oum Gouet S.
Out: Richard
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Panevezys in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Panevezys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
49%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Panevezys lately — more wins on the board than FC Hegelmann.
  • Model gives FK Panevezys a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 12%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann FK Panevezys
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 13 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevezys
1:3
Jul 4, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann
1:1
May 6, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevezys
3:2
Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
FK Panevezys vs FC Hegelmann
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Harouna A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Asante I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asamoah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 11 / 100
FK Panevezys 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FK Panevezys has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Hegelmann has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS FK Panevezys
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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FK Panevezys

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)