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FC Hegelmann vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Dos Santos D.
45' Event
Misiukas N.
66' Event
Stulga D.

AI Match Summary

FC Hegelmann in this I Lyga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Hegelmann.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Hegelmann
40%
Draws
29%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Hegelmann lately — more wins on the board than Lokomotyvas Radviliskis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 17%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 14 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2016 I Lyga
FC Hegelmann vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
2:1
May 14, 2016 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs FC Hegelmann
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stulga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Compare

Top Goalscorer Misiukas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 31 / 100
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

FC Hegelmann scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: FC Hegelmann stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310