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Cuba

Liga Nacional

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Holguin host FC Guantanamo in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. FC Holguin have averaged 1 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against FC Guantanamo's 1.75 scored and 0.38 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Holguin have won 1 to FC Guantanamo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.75, favoring FC Guantanamo. FC Guantanamo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

FC Holguin

Draws

90%

FC Guantanamo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Guantanamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Holguin.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Guantanamo.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

FC Holguin Clean Sheet 12%

FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Holguin	FC Guantanamo
Matches Played	32	33
Wins	13	16
Draws	9	10
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Guantanamo vs FC Holguin

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Guantanamo vs FC Holguin

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

May 27, 2023 Liga Nacional

FC Holguin vs FC Guantanamo

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 10 / 100

FC Guantanamo 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Holguin FC Guantanamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

FC Guantanamo let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Holguin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Guantanamo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS FC Guantanamo

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8