Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional game between FC Holguin and FC Santiago de Cuba finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Santiago de Cuba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Santiago de Cuba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- FC Holguin have managed 1 goals a game lately — FC Santiago de Cuba are scoring more at 1.13.
- Model gives FC Santiago de Cuba a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 16%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Holguin | FC Santiago de Cuba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin
3:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Holguin
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:4
May 20, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Santiago de Cuba
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Holguin 23 / 100
FC Santiago de Cuba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Holguin FC Santiago de Cuba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
FC Holguin's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
FC Santiago de Cuba let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: FC Holguin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Holguin VS FC Santiago de Cuba
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Holguin
(Home) 14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1 FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1 FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0 CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3 FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
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24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0 CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3 FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
29 Mar
FC Holguin
2 : 0 CF Granma
22 Mar
FC Holguin
1 : 0 FC Guantanamo
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FC Santiago de Cuba
(Away) 09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2 FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1 FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1 FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0 CF Granma
Page 1 of 7
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2 FC Santiago de Cuba
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
12 Apr
CF Granma
2 : 3 FC Santiago de Cuba
29 Mar
FC Guantanamo
0 : 0 FC Santiago de Cuba
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)