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FC Jarfalla vs AFC Eskilstuna

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Jarfalla host AFC Eskilstuna in the Division 1 - Norra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC Jarfalla have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against AFC Eskilstuna's 2.06 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Jarfalla slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.31) point toward AFC Eskilstuna. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC Jarfalla
15%
Draws
68%
AFC Eskilstuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Eskilstuna lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • Model gives AFC Eskilstuna a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla AFC Eskilstuna
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.72 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs FC Jarfalla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 10 / 100
AFC Eskilstuna 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla AFC Eskilstuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Jarfalla scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

AFC Eskilstuna has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Jarfalla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS AFC Eskilstuna
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
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AFC Eskilstuna

(Away)
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
5 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
9 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)