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Stadium Background

FC Jarfalla vs FBK Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Hagelberg A.
36' Event
Navassardian E.
60'
Sub
Olsson W. In: Sandstad A.
Out: Olsson W.

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jarfalla
15%
Draws
85%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBK Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • Model gives FBK Karlstad a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 11%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs FBK Karlstad
0:3
May 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs FC Jarfalla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagelberg A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navassardian E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 10 / 100
FBK Karlstad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jarfalla found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

FBK Karlstad let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: FBK Karlstad registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS FBK Karlstad
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
21 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
2 : 0
FC Jarfalla
15 Aug
Sollentuna
2 : 1
FC Jarfalla
08 Aug
FC Jarfalla
1 : 4
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1
FBK Karlstad
19 Aug
FBK Karlstad
1 : 0
Sundsvall
16 Aug
FBK Karlstad
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 20 13 3 4 44:17 42
2 Hammarby TFF 21 12 5 4 46:18 41
3 Karlstad 21 11 4 6 33:21 37
4 AFC Eskilstuna 20 11 4 5 35:27 37
5 FBK Karlstad 21 11 4 6 36:32 37
6 FC Arlanda 21 10 6 5 34:25 36
7 Enkopings SK 21 11 2 8 32:34 35
8 Assyriska FF 21 8 5 8 35:34 29
9 Karlbergs 21 8 4 9 29:31 28
10 Gefle 21 8 3 10 28:39 27
11 Umea FC 20 6 5 9 26:33 23
12 Sollentuna 21 5 8 8 19:28 23
13 Vasalund 21 6 5 10 33:43 23
14 Pitea 20 3 6 11 24:40 15
15 FC Jarfalla 21 4 3 14 24:47 15
16 IFK Stocksund 21 3 5 13 41:50 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)