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FC Jarfalla vs FBK Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
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Match Events

25' Event
Hagelberg A.
36' Event
Navassardian E.
60'
Sub
Olsson W. In: Sandstad A.
Out: Olsson W.

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Jarfalla
35%
Draws
35%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBK Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • Model gives FC Jarfalla a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 14%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs FBK Karlstad
0:3
May 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs FC Jarfalla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagelberg A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navassardian E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 41 / 100
FBK Karlstad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jarfalla found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

FBK Karlstad let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

FC Jarfalla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS FBK Karlstad
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
01 Nov
Enkopings SK
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
23 Oct
FC Jarfalla
2 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Oct
FC Arlanda
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
31 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale
24 Oct
Gefle
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
17 Oct
FBK Karlstad
3 : 1
Karlbergs
11 Oct
Assyriska FF
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)