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FC Jarfalla vs Hammarby TFF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Jarfalla host Hammarby TFF in the Division 1 - Norra. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC Jarfalla have averaged 1.29 scored and 2.18 conceded recently, against Hammarby TFF's 1.82 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Jarfalla have won 0 to Hammarby TFF's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Hammarby TFF. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Jarfalla
20%
Draws
40%
Hammarby TFF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby TFF lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 15%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Hammarby TFF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FC Jarfalla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 31 / 100
Hammarby TFF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Hammarby TFF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jarfalla scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Hammarby TFF conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Hammarby TFF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS Hammarby TFF
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby TFF

(Away)
11 Oct
Hammarby TFF
0 : 1
Enkopings SK
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 26 13 6 7 51:26 45
5 Enkopings SK 26 14 3 9 39:40 45
6 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
7 FBK Karlstad 26 12 7 7 41:36 43
8 Assyriska FF 26 10 5 11 44:45 35
9 Umea FC 26 10 5 11 36:42 35
10 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
11 Gefle 26 9 4 13 32:46 31
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 26 5 8 13 33:49 23
15 FC Jarfalla 26 5 4 17 34:57 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)