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FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
FC Jarfalla Logo

FC Jarfalla

5 - 0
FT
Karlbergs Logo

Karlbergs

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Wurtz A.
46'
Sub
Sietsema L. In: Negash N.
Out: Sietsema L.
46'
Sub
Fati A. In: Nieminen Eriksson F.
Out: Fati A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Jarfalla in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Jarfalla
35%
Draws
37%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlbergs lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • Model gives FC Jarfalla a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 15%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Karlbergs
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs
5:0
May 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla
1:3
Sep 17, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs
1:1
May 18, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs FC Jarfalla
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Karlbergs
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Danha C. F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wurtz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Karlbergs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 41 / 100
Karlbergs 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

FC Jarfalla's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Karlbergs has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

FC Jarfalla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS Karlbergs
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
01 Nov
Enkopings SK
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
23 Oct
FC Jarfalla
2 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Oct
FC Arlanda
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

Karlbergs

(Away)
01 Nov
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
25 Oct
Karlbergs
1 : 1
Umea FC
17 Oct
FBK Karlstad
3 : 1
Karlbergs
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)