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FC Jarfalla vs Kvarnsveden Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 game between FC Jarfalla and Kvarnsveden finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Jarfalla
15%
Draws
0%
Kvarnsveden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Jarfalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Jarfalla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Jarfalla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 68%
Kvarnsveden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Kvarnsveden
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.61 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.19 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Kvarnsveden
7:0
Jun 18, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs FC Jarfalla
3:1
Sep 25, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Kvarnsveden
6:0
May 26, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs FC Jarfalla
2:2
Nov 27, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Kvarnsveden
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 95 / 100
Kvarnsveden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Kvarnsveden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Jarfalla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kvarnsveden conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Kvarnsveden's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Jarfalla's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
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Kvarnsveden

(Away)
22 Oct
Kvarnsveden
0 : 4
FC Arlanda
14 Oct
FC Jarfalla
7 : 0
Kvarnsveden
07 Oct
Kvarnsveden
0 : 8
Enskede
30 Sept
Hudiksvall
8 : 1
Kvarnsveden
23 Sept
Kvarnsveden
0 : 6
Viggbyholms
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlbergs 26 18 5 3 60:25 59
2 Enskede 26 17 5 4 74:25 56
3 FC Jarfalla 26 16 2 8 59:33 50
4 FC Arlanda 26 14 4 8 54:40 46
5 Gute 26 14 2 10 37:31 44
6 Viggbyholms 26 12 4 10 51:41 40
7 Hudiksvall 26 11 5 10 53:43 38
8 Osteraker IFK 26 10 6 10 40:41 36
9 Sandvikens AIK 26 11 3 12 39:40 36
10 Kungsangen 26 11 3 12 41:49 36
11 Skiljebo 26 10 4 12 58:45 34
12 IK Franke 26 7 7 12 40:51 28
13 IFK Uppsala 26 2 4 20 26:82 10
14 Kvarnsveden 26 1 2 23 15:101 5
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 (Relegation)