Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Jarfalla vs Umea FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Jarfalla host Umea FC in the Division 1 - Norra. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC Jarfalla have averaged 1.56 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Umea FC's 1.28 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Jarfalla slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Umea FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC Jarfalla
15%
Draws
59%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Umea FC come out ahead of FC Jarfalla on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Jarfalla a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Umea FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.56 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs FC Jarfalla
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 34 / 100
Umea FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Jarfalla scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Umea FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: FC Jarfalla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS Umea FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 7

Umea FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)