Sport Picks
FC Jarfalla vs Umea FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
FC Jarfalla host Umea FC in the Division 1 - Norra. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC Jarfalla have averaged 1.56 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Umea FC's 1.28 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Jarfalla slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Umea FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Umea FC come out ahead of FC Jarfalla on wins alone.
- Model gives FC Jarfalla a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Jarfalla | Umea FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: FC Jarfalla scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Umea FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: FC Jarfalla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Jarfalla
(Home)Umea FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 60:20 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Arlanda | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:28 | 48 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 47:34 | 47 |
| 4 | Hammarby TFF | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 51:25 | 45 |
| 5 | FBK Karlstad | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Enkopings SK | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 7 | Karlstad | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 41 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43:45 | 32 |
| 9 | Umea FC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 34:41 | 32 |
| 10 | Karlbergs | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | 32 |
| 11 | Gefle | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 29:43 | 30 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 36:52 | 27 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24:36 | 24 |
| 14 | Pitea | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 22 |
| 15 | FC Jarfalla | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33:55 | 19 |
| 16 | IFK Stocksund | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 45:61 | 15 |