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FC Jarfalla vs Vasalund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Jarfalla host Vasalund in the Division 1 - Norra. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FC Jarfalla at 1.34 goals for, 2.14 against; Vasalund at 1.41 for, 2.03 against. Head-to-head, FC Jarfalla have won 0 to Vasalund's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.56, favoring Vasalund. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Jarfalla
35%
Draws
26%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Jarfalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasalund come out ahead of FC Jarfalla on wins alone.
  • FC Jarfalla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 15%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Vasalund
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FC Jarfalla
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 84 / 100
Vasalund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Jarfalla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Jarfalla found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vasalund conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

FC Jarfalla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS Vasalund
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
01 Nov
Enkopings SK
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
23 Oct
FC Jarfalla
2 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Oct
FC Arlanda
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
01 Nov
Vasalund
2 : 1
Karlstad
24 Oct
Sollentuna
2 : 0
Vasalund
18 Oct
Vasalund
0 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)