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FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala Prediction & H2H Stats

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Tyshchenko O.
72' Event
Punculs E.
89' Event
Punculs E.

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Jurmala and Spartaks Jurmala finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartaks Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
15%
Draws
85%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Jurmala haven't matched Spartaks Jurmala's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Spartaks Jurmala taking it.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 1 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.66 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:2
Aug 9, 2014 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FC Jurmala
4:1
Jun 14, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:1
Apr 19, 2014 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FC Jurmala
1:1
Nov 9, 2013 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyshchenko O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Punculs E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala Spartaks Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartaks Jurmala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Jurmala scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartaks Jurmala
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Spartaks Jurmala

(Away)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)