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FC Jurmala vs Ventspils

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cheikh
71' Event
Kurakins A.
76' Event
Karlsons G.

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Jurmala and Ventspils finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ventspils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
20%
Draws
80%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ventspils carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ventspils a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ventspils have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 28%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala Ventspils
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 1 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.66 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:7
Jun 29, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FC Jurmala
6:1
May 14, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:6
May 11, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Ventspils
0:0
Apr 16, 2014 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FC Jurmala
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheikh
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsons G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
Ventspils 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventspils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Ventspils let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

FC Jurmala's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ventspils lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ventspils
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)