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FC Khankendi vs Gancabasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Khankendi host Gancabasar in the I Liqa. This has Gancabasar written all over it on paper. FC Khankendi have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Gancabasar's 1.76 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Khankendi have won 0 to Gancabasar's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring Gancabasar. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Khankendi
15%
Draws
64%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gancabasar lately — more wins on the board than FC Khankendi.
  • Model gives Gancabasar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Khankendi Clean Sheet 19%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Khankendi Gancabasar
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
FC Khankendi vs Gancabasar
2:3
Sep 10, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs FC Khankendi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Khankendi 10 / 100
Gancabasar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Khankendi Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Khankendi scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Gancabasar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: FC Khankendi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Khankendi VS Gancabasar
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Khankendi

(Home)
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
2 : 3
Gancabasar
21 Oct
FC Khankendi
0 : 1
Mingachevir
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
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Gancabasar

(Away)
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
2 : 3
Gancabasar
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
10 Oct
Gancabasar
2 : 0
Baku Sporting
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)