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FC Khankendi vs Karvan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Khankendi host Karvan in the I Liqa. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Karvan have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while FC Khankendi have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.88. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Karvan to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Khankendi
20%
Draws
57%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karvan come out ahead of FC Khankendi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Karvan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Khankendi Clean Sheet 20%
Karvan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Khankendi Karvan
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Khankendi 16 / 100
Karvan 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Khankendi Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

FC Khankendi scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

FC Khankendi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Karvan's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Khankendi VS Karvan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Khankendi

(Home)
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
2 : 3
Gancabasar
21 Oct
FC Khankendi
0 : 1
Mingachevir
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 2

Karvan

(Away)
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
4 Sabail 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Karvan 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
6 Shimal 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 FC Khankendi 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
8 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
9 Zaqatala PFK 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
10 Baku Sporting 6 0 0 6 3:17 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)