Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Kharkiv vs FC Mariupol

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2021/2022 OSC Metalist
Sat, Apr 23, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Kharkiv play FC Mariupol in the Premier League 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Kharkiv averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1 conceded. FC Mariupol averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, FC Kharkiv won 1, FC Mariupol won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for FC Kharkiv and 0.63 for FC Mariupol. This points to a FC Kharkiv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Kharkiv
26%
Draws
23%
FC Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FC Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • FC Kharkiv picked up more points recently compared to FC Mariupol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 29%
FC Mariupol Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Kharkiv FC Mariupol
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs FC Mariupol
0:0
Oct 16, 2021 Premier League
FC Mariupol vs FC Kharkiv
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Kharkiv 52 / 100
FC Mariupol 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Kharkiv FC Mariupol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Kharkiv or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Kharkiv attacking → ← attacking FC Mariupol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Kharkiv scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

FC Mariupol let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

FC Kharkiv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Mariupol lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 12
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar18152149:1047
2Dynamo Kyiv18143147:945
3SK Dnipro-118131435:1740
4Zorya18113437:1936
5Vorskla Poltava1896330:1833
6Oleksandriya1875619:1626
7Desna1874722:2725
8Kolos Kovalivka1873814:2324
9Veres Rivne1865715:2023
10FC Kharkiv18611117:2919
11Rukh Lviv1746716:2118
12Lviv1845914:3017
13Ch. Odesa18351020:4014
14Inhulets17341013:2813
15Minaj18171012:3010
16FC Mariupol18221421:448