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FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Kharkiv host Karpaty Lviv in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: FC Kharkiv at 1.77 goals for, 1.2 against; Karpaty Lviv at 1.75 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, FC Kharkiv have won 2 to Karpaty Lviv's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.06) back Karpaty Lviv to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
FC Kharkiv
20%
Draws
32%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karpaty Lviv lately — more wins on the board than FC Kharkiv.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on FC Kharkiv taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Kharkiv here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 20%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Kharkiv Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.77 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty Lviv
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs FC Kharkiv
1:2
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Karpaty Lviv vs FC Kharkiv
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Kharkiv 49 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Kharkiv Karpaty Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Kharkiv found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

FC Kharkiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Kharkiv VS Karpaty Lviv
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Kharkiv

(Home)
19 Oct
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1
Livyi Bereg
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 2
FC Kharkiv
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Karpaty Lviv

(Away)
18 Oct
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 2
Epitsentr
11 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 9 8 0 1 20:5 24
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 9 7 1 1 20:8 22
3 FC Kharkiv 8 6 0 2 16:6 18
4 Dynamo Kyiv 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
5 Karpaty Lviv 9 4 3 2 17:8 15
6 LNZ Cherkasy 9 4 2 3 10:9 14
7 Zorya 9 4 2 3 12:13 14
8 Epitsentr 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
9 Veres Rivne 9 2 3 4 6:11 9
10 Kolos Kovalivka 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
11 Bukovyna 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
12 Livyi Bereg 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
13 Obolon 8 1 4 3 4:12 7
14 Ch. Odesa 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
15 Kudrivka 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
16 Kryvbas 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)