Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Itodo P.
87'
87'
Mba C.
AI Match Summary
FC Kharkiv in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- FC Kharkiv have won more games recently than Obolon.
- FC Kharkiv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- FC Kharkiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FC Kharkiv, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Kharkiv | Obolon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs FC Kharkiv
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs FC Kharkiv
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
2:0
Aug 4, 2025 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
0:0
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Itodo P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mba C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Obolon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Kharkiv 95 / 100
Obolon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Kharkiv Obolon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Kharkiv scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Obolon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Obolon lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Kharkiv VS Obolon
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Kharkiv
(Home) 22 Aug
Kalynivka
0 : 9 FC Kharkiv
16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1 Shakhtar
10 Aug
Polissya Zhytomyr
3 : 1 FC Kharkiv
02 Aug
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Kharkiv
01 Aug
FC Kharkiv
1 : 0 Veres Rivne
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16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1 Shakhtar
01 Aug
FC Kharkiv
1 : 0 Veres Rivne
22 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2 Schalke
21 Jul
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2 Okayama
16 Jul
FC Kharkiv
3 : 3 Hradec Kralove
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Obolon
(Away) 22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0 Obolon
15 Aug
Kudrivka
0 : 0 Obolon
08 Aug
Bukovyna
0 : 0 Obolon
02 Aug
Epitsentr
3 : 0 Obolon
24 Jul
Obolon
0 : 1 Kudrivka
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22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0 Obolon
15 Aug
Kudrivka
0 : 0 Obolon
08 Aug
Bukovyna
0 : 0 Obolon
02 Aug
Epitsentr
3 : 0 Obolon
21 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 2 Obolon
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
