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FC Kharkiv vs Obolon

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Volokhatyi R.
7'
Volokhatyi R.
7'
Volokhatyi R.

AI Match Summary

FC Kharkiv in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Kharkiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
FC Kharkiv
20%
Draws
11%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • FC Kharkiv have won more games recently than Obolon.
  • Win probability leans FC Kharkiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Kharkiv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 20%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Kharkiv Obolon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
5:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs FC Kharkiv
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs FC Kharkiv
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
2:0
Aug 4, 2025 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Paraco C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zabergja B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Obolon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Kharkiv 85 / 100
Obolon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Kharkiv Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Kharkiv scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Obolon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: FC Kharkiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Kharkiv VS Obolon
2 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Kharkiv

(Home)
16 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 2
FC Kharkiv
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
22 Aug
Kalynivka
0 : 9
FC Kharkiv
16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1
Shakhtar
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Obolon

(Away)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Karpaty Lviv 6 4 1 1 14:4 13
4 Dynamo Kyiv 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
5 FC Kharkiv 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
6 Epitsentr 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
8 Zorya 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
9 Bukovyna 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
10 Veres Rivne 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
11 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Livyi Bereg 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
14 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
15 Kolos Kovalivka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Kudrivka 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)