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FC Kharkiv vs Obolon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Livyi Bereg, Kyiv
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Match Events

2'
Volokhatyi R.
7'
Volokhatyi R.
7'
Volokhatyi R.

AI Match Summary

FC Kharkiv in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Kharkiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FC Kharkiv
20%
Draws
24%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Kharkiv have won more games recently than Obolon.
  • Win probability leans FC Kharkiv's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Kharkiv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 20%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Kharkiv Obolon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.86 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
5:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs FC Kharkiv
1:3
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs FC Kharkiv
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
2:0
Aug 4, 2025 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Obolon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Paraco C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zabergja B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Obolon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Kharkiv 76 / 100
Obolon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Kharkiv Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Kharkiv scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Obolon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: FC Kharkiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Kharkiv VS Obolon
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Kharkiv

(Home)
28 Oct
Mayak Sarny
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
24 Oct
Epitsentr
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
19 Oct
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1
Livyi Bereg
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
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Obolon

(Away)
06 Nov
Obolon
1 : 1
Livyi Bereg
30 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Obolon
23 Oct
Polissya Zhytomyr
3 : 0
Obolon
16 Oct
Obolon
2 : 0
Veres Rivne
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 11 9 1 1 22:5 28
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 10 8 1 1 23:8 25
3 Dynamo Kyiv 10 7 1 2 16:9 22
4 FC Kharkiv 9 7 0 2 18:7 21
5 Karpaty Lviv 11 5 4 2 22:8 19
6 Zorya 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
7 LNZ Cherkasy 10 4 3 3 10:9 15
8 Kolos Kovalivka 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Ch. Odesa 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
10 Epitsentr 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
11 Bukovyna 10 1 6 3 7:12 9
12 Veres Rivne 11 2 3 6 7:16 9
13 Livyi Bereg 9 1 5 3 6:8 8
14 Obolon 10 1 4 5 4:17 7
15 Kryvbas 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
16 Kudrivka 11 1 2 8 11:29 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)