Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Kiisto Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Kiisto Vaasa play KPV Kokkola in the Suomen Cup 2024. KPV Kokkola are favorites here. Recently, FC Kiisto Vaasa averaged 0.91 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. KPV Kokkola averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, FC Kiisto Vaasa won 0, KPV Kokkola won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 16, 2024 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for FC Kiisto Vaasa and 1.88 for KPV Kokkola. This points to a KPV Kokkola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
FC Kiisto Vaasa
15%
Draws
71%
KPV Kokkola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KPV Kokkola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Kiisto Vaasa picked up more points recently compared to KPV Kokkola.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
FC Kiisto Vaasa Clean Sheet 10%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Kiisto Vaasa KPV Kokkola
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2024 Suomen Cup
FC Kiisto Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola
2:5
Sep 6, 2015 Kakkonen North
KPV Kokkola vs FC Kiisto Vaasa
3:1
Jul 11, 2015 Kakkonen North
FC Kiisto Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola
1:5
May 17, 2015 Kakkonen North
FC Kiisto Vaasa vs KPV Kokkola
2:3
Oct 4, 2009 Ykkosliiga
KPV Kokkola vs FC Kiisto Vaasa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Kiisto Vaasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtimaki A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Viidas S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Kiisto Vaasa 15 / 100
KPV Kokkola 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Kiisto Vaasa KPV Kokkola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KPV Kokkola Win (2)
Secondary Pick KPV Kokkola & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Kiisto Vaasa attacking → ← attacking KPV Kokkola

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Kiisto Vaasa scored in 55% of their last 22 games.

KPV Kokkola let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

FC Kiisto Vaasa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

KPV Kokkola lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38