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FC La Habana vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC La Habana and FC Holguin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Holguin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC La Habana
6%
Draws
4%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC La Habana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC La Habana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 20%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC La Habana FC Holguin
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Holguin
0:2
Apr 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC La Habana
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC La Habana 85 / 100
FC Holguin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC La Habana FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC La Habana scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

FC Holguin let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

FC La Habana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC La Habana VS FC Holguin
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%