Sport Picks

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FC La Habana vs Matanzas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC La Habana play Matanzas in the Liga Nacional 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC La Habana averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Matanzas averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, FC La Habana won 2, Matanzas won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 27, 2023 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for FC La Habana and 0.75 for Matanzas. This points to a FC La Habana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC La Habana
27%
Draws
22%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • FC La Habana picked up more points recently compared to Matanzas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 27%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC La Habana Matanzas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Matanzas
5:2
Apr 29, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC La Habana
0:0
Mar 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC La Habana
0:1
May 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Matanzas
0:0
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC La Habana
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC La Habana 51 / 100
Matanzas 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC La Habana Matanzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC La Habana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC La Habana attacking → ← attacking Matanzas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC La Habana scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Matanzas let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC La Habana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Matanzas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 27
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50