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FC Lennestadt vs Erndtebruck

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Club Friendly 2023
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AI Match Summary

FC Lennestadt play Erndtebruck in the Club Friendly 2023. Erndtebruck are favorites here. Recently, FC Lennestadt averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2 conceded. Erndtebruck averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, FC Lennestadt won 0, Erndtebruck won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 7, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for FC Lennestadt and 1.88 for Erndtebruck. This points to a Erndtebruck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
FC Lennestadt
21%
Draws
64%
Erndtebruck
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Erndtebruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Lennestadt picked up more points recently compared to Erndtebruck.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
FC Lennestadt Clean Sheet 10%
Erndtebruck Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lennestadt Erndtebruck
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 6
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Lennestadt vs Erndtebruck
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lennestadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Friedrichs F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Erndtebruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Schardt L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moses J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lennestadt 16 / 100
Erndtebruck 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lennestadt Erndtebruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erndtebruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Erndtebruck & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Lennestadt attacking → ← attacking Erndtebruck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lennestadt scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Erndtebruck let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Lennestadt went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Erndtebruck lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 33
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75