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FC Lennestadt vs Siegen

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lennestadt play Siegen in the Club Friendly 2021. Siegen are favorites here. Recently, FC Lennestadt averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2 conceded. Siegen averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, FC Lennestadt won 0, Siegen won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 1, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for FC Lennestadt and 1.18 for Siegen. This points to a Siegen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
FC Lennestadt
26%
Draws
63%
Siegen
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Siegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Lennestadt picked up more points recently compared to Siegen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
FC Lennestadt Clean Sheet 20%
Siegen Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lennestadt Siegen
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2021 Club Friendly
FC Lennestadt vs Siegen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lennestadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Siegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kunz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Funfsinn L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lennestadt 14 / 100
Siegen 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lennestadt Siegen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Siegen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Lennestadt attacking → ← attacking Siegen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lennestadt scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Siegen let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Lennestadt went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Siegen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00