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FC Lescala vs UE Castelldefels

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Villaverde K.
56' Event
Gerboles M.
73' Event
Pime

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between FC Lescala and UE Castelldefels finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Lescala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FC Lescala
15%
Draws
28%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Lescala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Lescala come out ahead of UE Castelldefels on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Lescala a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
FC Lescala Clean Sheet 68%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lescala UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.52 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Lescala vs UE Castelldefels
4:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs FC Lescala
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lescala Compare

Top Goalscorer Pime
2 Goals
Assists Leader Konteh Baldeh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerboles M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lescala 95 / 100
UE Castelldefels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lescala UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Lescala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FC Lescala scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

UE Castelldefels let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

UE Castelldefels lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Lescala VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lescala

(Home)
13 Sept
CE Europa B
0 : 2
FC Lescala
05 Sept
FC Lescala
1 : 2
FE Grama
25 Jul
FC Lescala
0 : 1
Espanyol B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
FC Lescala
4 : 1
Lleida
Page 1 of 6

UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)