Sport Picks

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FC Libreville vs Zesco

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Houessou Aboudou C.
38' Event
Houessou Aboudou C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with FC Libreville advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Libreville
15%
Draws
64%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Libreville come out ahead of Zesco on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zesco's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FC Libreville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Libreville, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FC Libreville Clean Sheet 15%
Zesco Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Libreville Zesco
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs FC Libreville
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
FC Libreville vs Zesco
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Libreville Compare

Top Goalscorer Houessou Aboudou C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Zesco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Libreville 10 / 100
Zesco 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Libreville Zesco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Libreville's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zesco has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: FC Libreville remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Libreville VS Zesco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Libreville

(Home)
04 Jul
Vautour
3 : 1
FC Libreville
30 Jun
FC Libreville
0 : 1
US Oyem
27 Jun
Lozo Sport
0 : 0
FC Libreville
20 Jun
FC Libreville
0 : 1
Ogooue
13 Jun
Bouenguidi
0 : 2
FC Libreville
Page 1 of 6

Zesco

(Away)
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Mines
1 : 2
Zesco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Asante Kotoko 5
Kwara 3
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
Generation Foot 4
Academie de FAD 6
TBD -
USM Alger -
Bhantal 3
Hafia 5
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
USFA 3
Gbohloe-Su 0
Abia Warriors 1
Djoliba 2
Nigelec 0
Olympique de Safi 6
Stade Tunisien 2
SNIM 0
Aigle Royal 2
San Pedro 3
Black Man Warrior 1
Coton FC 4
Dekedda 2
Zamala Ruwaba 2
TBD -
Zamalek -
Welayta Dicha 1
Al-Ittihad 3
TBD -
Al Masry -
NEC FC 3
Nairobi United 3
Madani 1
Etoile Sahel 3
Port 2
KMKM 4
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Azam 4
Flambeau du Centre 4
Al Akhdar 3
Rayon Sport 1
Singida Black Stars 3
Foresters 1
15 de Agosto 4
TBD -
Stellenbosch FC -
FC Libreville 2
Zesco 5
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Simba 3
Djabal 0
Kabuscorp 1
Kaizer Chiefs 2
AS Maniema 4
Pamplemousses 3
Young Africans 0
Royal Leopards 7
Ferroviario Maputo 3
AS Fanalamanga 2
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Final
Asante Kotoko 1
Wydad Athletic 6
Academie de FAD 1
USM Alger 3
Hafia 1
CR Belouizdad 3
USFA 1
Djoliba 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Stade Tunisien 2
San Pedro 4
Coton FC 1
Dekedda 0
Zamalek 7
Al-Ittihad 1
Al Masry 2
Nairobi United 3
Etoile Sahel 2
KMKM 0
Azam 9
Flambeau du Centre 2
Singida Black Stars 4
15 de Agosto 1
Stellenbosch FC 4
Zesco 5
Jwaneng Galaxy 4
Simba 1
Kaizer Chiefs 3
AS Maniema 3
Royal Leopards 2
Ferroviario Maputo 0
Otoho d'Oyo 3