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FC Liefering vs Sturm II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Liefering host Sturm II in the 2. Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sturm II have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while FC Liefering have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor FC Liefering slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 2.06) point toward FC Liefering. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Liefering
20%
Draws
36%
Sturm II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Liefering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Liefering lately — more wins on the board than Sturm II.
  • Sturm II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Liefering Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Liefering Sturm II
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 2. Liga
Sturm II vs FC Liefering
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs Sturm II
2:2
Mar 14, 2025 2. Liga
Sturm II vs FC Liefering
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs Sturm II
2:2
May 3, 2024 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs Sturm II
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Liefering 26 / 100
Sturm II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Liefering Sturm II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Liefering scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Liefering has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Liefering VS Sturm II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Liefering

(Home)
24 Sept
FC Liefering
0 : 1
Tirol
18 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
4 : 0
FC Liefering
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
28 Aug
ASK Voitsberg
2 : 3
FC Liefering
21 Aug
FC Liefering
2 : 1
Austria Vienna (Am)
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Sturm II

(Away)
19 Sept
Sturm II
2 : 2
Wacker Innsbruck
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
30 Aug
Sturm II
5 : 2
Rapid Vienna II
22 Aug
SW Bregenz
3 : 1
Sturm II
15 Aug
Sturm II
0 : 2
Admira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)