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FC Lovech vs Partizan Cerven Brjag Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Sat, May 2, 2026
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lovech host Partizan Cerven Brjag in the Third League - North-West 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Partizan Cerven Brjag have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while FC Lovech have conceded 1.9 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor FC Lovech slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.17 - 2.38) back Partizan Cerven Brjag to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Lovech
30%
Draws
70%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Partizan Cerven Brjag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Partizan Cerven Brjag come out ahead of FC Lovech on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Partizan Cerven Brjag's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lovech Partizan Cerven Brjag
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs FC Lovech
1:0
Apr 9, 2017 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs FC Lovech
0:3
Sep 18, 2016 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lovech 10 / 100
Partizan Cerven Brjag 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lovech Partizan Cerven Brjag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partizan Cerven Brjag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Partizan Cerven Brjag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

FC Lovech found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Lovech VS Partizan Cerven Brjag
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lovech

(Home)
23 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Juventus Malchika
16 May
Etar II
3 : 0
FC Lovech
09 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 0
FC Lovech
02 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
25 Apr
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
FC Lovech
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Partizan Cerven Brjag

(Away)
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
29 Aug
Juventus Malchika
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
22 Aug
Partizan Cerven Brjag
0 : 0
Akademik Svishtov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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