Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Lustenau vs Kitzbuhel

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Stadion an der Holzstrasse, Lustenau
FC Lustenau Logo

FC Lustenau

1 - 4
FT
Kitzbuhel Logo

Kitzbuhel

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lauf S.
38' Event
Redek L.
(Penalty)
42'
Karakas B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FC Lustenau
20%
Draws
60%
Kitzbuhel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitzbuhel come out ahead of FC Lustenau on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Kitzbuhel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitzbuhel, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kitzbuhel have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lustenau Kitzbuhel
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 1
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs FC Lustenau
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 OFB Cup
FC Lustenau vs Kitzbuhel
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs FC Lustenau
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau vs Kitzbuhel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizvanovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kitzbuhel Compare

Top Goalscorer Stradins D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lauf S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lustenau 34 / 100
Kitzbuhel 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lustenau Kitzbuhel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitzbuhel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lustenau's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Kitzbuhel let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kitzbuhel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Lustenau VS Kitzbuhel
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lustenau

(Home)
12 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 3
Tirol (Am)
05 Sept
Reichenau
0 : 0
FC Lustenau
29 Aug
FC Lustenau
1 : 4
Dornbirn
23 Aug
Altach U21
3 : 1
FC Lustenau
15 Aug
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
Kufstein
Page 1 of 6

Kitzbuhel

(Away)
13 Sept
Kitzbuhel
1 : 2
Hohenems
09 Sept
Kitzbuhel
3 : 2
SC Imst
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
30 Aug
Schwaz
3 : 1
Kitzbuhel
23 Aug
Kitzbuhel
4 : 2
Lauterach
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels -
Wolfsberger AC -
Wacker Innsbruck -
Tirol -
Austria Vienna -
Hartberg -
First Vienna -
Rapid Vienna -
Grazer AK -
Altach -
LASK Linz -
Ried -
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz -
Salzburg -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -