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FC Lustenau vs Kitzbuhel

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Stadion an der Holzstrasse
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lustenau host Kitzbuhel in the OFB Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Lustenau have averaged 1.75 scored and 2.75 conceded recently, against Kitzbuhel's 1 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Kitzbuhel slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.88) point toward Kitzbuhel. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FC Lustenau
11%
Draws
80%
Kitzbuhel
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitzbuhel come out ahead of FC Lustenau on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kitzbuhel a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in OFB Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lustenau Kitzbuhel
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs FC Lustenau
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau vs Kitzbuhel
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lustenau 10 / 100
Kitzbuhel 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lustenau Kitzbuhel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lustenau's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kitzbuhel let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Lustenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Lustenau VS Kitzbuhel
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Atus Velden-
A. Klagenfurt-
Traiskirchen-
Bleiburg-
Lafnitz-
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth-
Wiener Viktoria-
Parndorf-
FC Lustenau-
Kitzbuhel-
Schwaz-
Wallern/St Marienkirchen-
Dietach-
Bischofshofen-
Vorwarts Steyr-
Kuchl-
Treibach-
Kapfenberg-
Tillmitsch-
St. Polten-
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch-
Amstetten-
Leoben-
ASK Voitsberg-
SV Leithaprodersdorf-
Admira-
Horn-
Floridsdorfer AC Wien-
Mattersburg SV 2020-
First Vienna-
Reichenau-
Wacker Innsbruck-
Union Gurten-
BW Linz-
Bad Leonfelden-
SW Bregenz-
Wals-Grunau-
A. Salzburg-
Hohenems-
Hogo Hertha Wels-
Wieselburg-
Tirol-
Kremser-
A. Lustenau-
Dornbirn-
Ried-
Leobendorf-
Altach-
SV Oberwart-
Salzburg-
SC Imst-
Hartberg-
Seekirchen-
Sturm Graz-
Donaufeld Wien-
Grazer AK-
Lauterach-
Wolfsberger AC-
Wiener-
Austria Vienna-
Wienerberger-
Rapid Vienna-
SC Kalsdorf-
LASK Linz-
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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