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FC Lustenau vs Schwaz Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Mihci Y.
40' Event
Hager S.
56' Event
Mihci Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
FC Lustenau
20%
Draws
56%
Schwaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Schwaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Schwaz lately — more wins on the board than FC Lustenau.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Schwaz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%
Schwaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lustenau Schwaz
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.3 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau vs Schwaz
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs FC Lustenau
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihci Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Schwaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Hager S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tipotsch F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lustenau 26 / 100
Schwaz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lustenau Schwaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schwaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schwaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Lustenau scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

FC Lustenau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Lustenau VS Schwaz
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lustenau

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
SK St. Johann
19 Sept
FC Wolfurt
2 : 3
FC Lustenau
12 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 3
Tirol (Am)
05 Sept
Reichenau
0 : 0
FC Lustenau
29 Aug
FC Lustenau
1 : 4
Dornbirn
Page 1 of 6

Schwaz

(Away)
26 Sept
Schwaz
3 : 0
Dornbirn
20 Sept
Altach U21
2 : 4
Schwaz
13 Sept
Schwaz
2 : 1
Kufstein
05 Sept
Hohenems
3 : 1
Schwaz
30 Aug
Schwaz
3 : 1
Kitzbuhel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Innsbruck 32 28 2 2 88:18 86
2 Kuchl 32 21 2 9 61:43 65
3 SC Imst 32 19 7 6 71:38 64
4 Seekirchen 32 19 4 9 83:51 61
5 Dornbirn 32 16 4 12 62:46 52
6 Bischofshofen 32 16 3 13 61:49 51
7 Hohenems 32 12 11 9 60:52 47
8 Kitzbuhel 32 14 4 14 46:44 46
9 Reichenau 32 14 3 15 44:55 45
10 Schwaz 32 13 5 14 57:56 44
11 Wals-Grunau 32 11 8 13 56:65 41
12 FC Lustenau 32 9 7 16 49:78 34
13 Johann 32 9 5 18 45:58 32
14 Pinzgau Saalfelden 32 7 6 19 26:60 27
15 Altach U21 32 7 6 19 35:75 27
16 Kufstein 32 5 10 17 33:55 25
17 Lauterach 32 6 5 21 46:80 23
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)