Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Madalena vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with SC Espinho advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Madalena
15%
Draws
64%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Madalena haven't matched SC Espinho's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on SC Espinho taking it.
  • SC Espinho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Espinho, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SC Espinho have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 13%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Madalena SC Espinho
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
SC Espinho vs FC Madalena
3:2
Sep 25, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs SC Espinho
0:1
Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal
FC Madalena vs SC Espinho
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Madalena 19 / 100
SC Espinho 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Madalena SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

FC Madalena found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

SC Espinho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Solid form: FC Madalena remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Madalena VS SC Espinho
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Madalena

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5
FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
Page 1 of 6

SC Espinho

(Away)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
Cruzado Canicense 0
Famalicao 3
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
Louletano 0
Operario 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vizela 4
Despertar 1
Marinhense 0
AA Avanca 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Riachense 0
TBD -
AD Fafe -
Trofense -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor 2
CDR Quarteirense 3
Esposende 3
AD Valecambrense 2
TBD -
BSAD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense 2
Melgacense 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Macedo de Cavaleiros 4
CF Fao 0
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Freamunde -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Juv. Evora 2
Messinense 1
CF Canical 0
Carregado 4
Serzedelo 1
FC Alpendorada 0
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
Beira Mar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Moreirense -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 1
SB Castelo Branco 2
Pinhalnovense -
TBD -
Ribeirao 0
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira de Frades -
Lagoa 2
Aguia 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
AD Lousada 2
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
Alba 1
Sousense 3
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Vila Real 1
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Bustelo 0
Torreense 3
Tirsense -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beneditense 3
SC Praiense 1
TBD -
Sampedrense -
SC Espinho 3
FC Madalena 1
CU Micaelense 0
Camara de Lobos 3
GD Tourizense 2
Tocha 1
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 1
FC Cesarense 0
Senhorim 0
Chaves 7
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Paredes 5
Montijo 1
GD Braganca 2
SC Pombal 3
Anadia 1
SC Lusitania 0
Santiago FC 0
Amarante FC 6
Electrico FC 4
AD Limianos 0
Alcobaca 4
Tondela 5
Gondomar -
TBD -
TBD -
Sesimbra -
Sporting Ideal 2
Fayal 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense 1
Nogueirense 0
Oliveira Hospital 0
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril -
TBD -
Porto da Cruz 1
Sacavenense 2
Bairro da Argentina 3
Atletico SC 2
AD Oliveirense 2
Vila Mea 3
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
Rebordosa 2
Oliv. Bairro 1
TBD -
Penafiel -
GD Alcochetense 6
Bombarralense 2
Prainha 0
Penalva do Castelo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
FC Pampilhosa 3
Fatima 0
GD Peniche 0
FC Amares 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
Aves -
TBD -
Sintrense 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 2
Machico 2
Varzim 1
Real SC 0
Infesta 2
Moura AC 2
Grijo 0
SC Vianense 1
Cinfaes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Covilha -
TBD -
SC Farense 0
Caldas SC 3
Marinhas -
TBD -
Guadalupe 0
Lamego 1
CD Portosantense 2
C.F. Benfica 1
Cerveira 0
Casa Pia 2
Pescadores Caparica 1
Meda 0
Camacha 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Estrela Calheta 1
Santana 0
CF Andorinha 0
Aljustrelense 2
Monsanto -
TBD -
Boavista Sao Mateus 0
Redondense 1
Padroense 2
O Elvas CAD 1
FC Crato 0
Santa Maria FC 6
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leca 2
Vilaverdense FC 0
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
Oriental 2
SL Cartaxo 1
TBD -
Oeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
1/64-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
U. Madeira 0
Famalicao 1
1º Dezembro 2
Operario 1
TBD -
Braga -
Vizela 2
AA Avanca 0
Fabril do Barreiro 0
AD Fafe 1
Trofense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
Esposende 1
BSAD 5
Benfica -
TBD -
GD Sourense 0
Portimonense 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 0
Freamunde 1
Naval 3
Juv. Evora 2
Carregado 1
Serzedelo 0
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Beira Mar -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Moreirense 3
SB Castelo Branco 2
Pinhalnovense 0
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes 3
Oliveira de Frades 1
Lagoa 1
AD Lousada 2
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Mafra 1
Sousense 2
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
SC Vila Real 0
Torreense 2
Tirsense 2
Santa Clara 1
Beneditense 0
Sampedrense 1
SC Espinho 4
Camara de Lobos 0
GD Tourizense 1
Sao Joao de Ver 4
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 0
Chaves 3
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Oliveirense 5
Academico Viseu 2
Paredes 0
SC Pombal 2
Anadia 3
Amarante FC 2
Electrico FC 0
Tondela 1
Gondomar 1
Sesimbra 0
Sporting Ideal 2
GD Joane 3
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Sertanense 2
SC Mirandela 4
Estoril 2
Sacavenense 0
Bairro da Argentina 1
Vila Mea 2
Merelinense 4
SC Angrense 3
Rebordosa 0
Penafiel 6
GD Alcochetense 3
Penalva do Castelo 2
TBD -
Leiria -
FC Pampilhosa 2
FC Amares 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Aves 2
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Machico 1
Infesta 2
Moura AC 2
Cinfaes 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Covilha 4
Caldas SC 0
Marinhas 1
Lamego 2
CD Portosantense 1
Casa Pia 0
Pescadores Caparica 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 2
Arouca 1
Estrela Calheta 0
Aljustrelense 2
Monsanto 5
Redondense 1
Padroense 0
Santa Maria FC 1
FC Porto -
TBD -
Leca 0
Pero Pinheiro 2
Oriental 1
Oeiras 0
TBD -
Academica -
1/32-finals
Sporting CP 2
Famalicao 0
1º Dezembro 1
Braga 3
Vizela 3
AD Fafe 2
Trofense 1
BSAD 2
Benfica 2
Portimonense 0
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Naval 2
Juv. Evora 2
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Beira Mar 0
Maritimo 1
Moreirense 3
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes 0
AD Lousada 1
Rio Ave 5
Sousense 2
Gil Vicente 0
Torreense 1
Tirsense 3
Sampedrense 1
SC Espinho 1
Sao Joao de Ver 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Chaves 0
Feirense 0
Nacional 1
Oliveirense 7
SC Pombal 1
Anadia 2
Tondela 3
Gondomar 1
GD Joane 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril 3
Vila Mea 1
Merelinense 2
Penafiel 3
GD Alcochetense 2
Leiria 1
FC Pampilhosa 0
Olhanense 3
Aves 4
Infesta 0
Moura AC 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Covilha 4
Lamego 1
CD Portosantense 0
CD Ribeira Brava 2
Leixoes 1
Aljustrelense 0
Monsanto 1
Santa Maria FC 2
FC Porto 8
Pero Pinheiro 0
Oriental 0
Academica 1
1/16-finals
Sporting CP 2
Braga 0
Vizela 0
BSAD 2
Benfica 1
Naval 0
Juv. Evora 0
Maritimo 1
Moreirense 7
AD Lousada 1
Rio Ave 2
Torreense 3
Tirsense 3
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 0
Gondomar 1
SC Mirandela 2
Estoril 2
Penafiel 1
GD Alcochetense 0
Olhanense 1
Aves 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Covilha 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 1
Santa Maria FC 0
FC Porto 0
Academica 3
1/8-finals
Sporting CP 2
BSAD 0
Benfica 1
Maritimo 2
Moreirense 2
Torreense 1
Tirsense 0
Nacional 1
Oliveirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril 2
Olhanense 3
Aves 2
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 2
Academica 5
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP 3
Maritimo 0
Moreirense 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 2
Olhanense 1
Aves 2
Academica 3
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 5
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 2
Academica 3
Final
Sporting CP 0
Academica 1