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FC Manitoba vs St. Louis Lions

USA USA

USL League Two 2020
Sat, Jul 11, 2020
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Manitoba host St. Louis Lions in the USL League Two 2020. This one's hard to separate. St. Louis Lions have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while FC Manitoba have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, FC Manitoba have won 0 to St. Louis Lions's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.19) back St. Louis Lions to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Manitoba
22%
Draws
18%
St. Louis Lions
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Manitoba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Manitoba have won more games recently than St. Louis Lions.
  • Win probability leans FC Manitoba's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
FC Manitoba Clean Sheet 20%
St. Louis Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Manitoba St. Louis Lions
Matches Played 24 16
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2020 USL League Two
FC Manitoba vs St. Louis Lions
0:0
May 24, 2020 USL League Two
St. Louis Lions vs FC Manitoba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Manitoba 58 / 100
St. Louis Lions 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Manitoba St. Louis Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Manitoba found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (24 games).

St. Louis Lions let in goals in 100% of their last 16 matches.

St. Louis Lions lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Manitoba VS St. Louis Lions
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%