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FC Marisca Mersch vs US Sandweiler Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016
FC Marisca Mersch Logo

FC Marisca Mersch

4 - 3
FT
US Sandweiler Logo

US Sandweiler

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with FC Marisca Mersch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC Marisca Mersch
20%
Draws
0%
US Sandweiler
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Marisca Mersch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Marisca Mersch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Marisca Mersch's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FC Marisca Mersch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Marisca Mersch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 10%
US Sandweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Marisca Mersch US Sandweiler
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.44 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 3.35 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
FC Marisca Mersch vs US Sandweiler
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Marisca Mersch 83 / 100
US Sandweiler 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Marisca Mersch US Sandweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Marisca Mersch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: US Sandweiler conceded in 90% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

US Sandweiler lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Marisca Mersch found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Marisca Mersch VS US Sandweiler
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
2.88 Goals Conceded 5.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Marisca Mersch

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2
Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0
FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 7

US Sandweiler

(Away)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
19 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 5
Jeunesse Canach
06 Oct
The Belval Belvaux
5 : 0
US Sandweiler
01 Oct
US Sandweiler
1 : 2
Jeunesse Canach
02 Oct
US Sandweiler
2 : 3
Jeunesse Schieren
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mondorf -
TBD -
FC Orania Vianden 0
Hostert 7
Sporting Bertrange 2
Alliance Aischdall 1
TBD -
Luxembourg City -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Lorentzweiler 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Hesperange 3
Alisontia Steinsel 2
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
UNA Strassen -
TBD -
US Sandweiler 3
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Bissen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
AS Hosingen 3
FC 47 Bastendorf 4
Lintgen 4
Echternach 2
TBD -
Fola -
Dudelange -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Differdange -
TBD -
Union Tetange 0
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
FC Munsbach 2
Kaerjeng 4
Rumelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Schieren 3
Mondercange 1
TBD -
Wiltz -
Esch 3
Oberkorn 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
FF Norden 3
FC Rodange 91 7
FC Brouch 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 5
1/16-finals
Mondorf 2
Hostert 1
Sporting Bertrange 0
Luxembourg City 4
Victoria Rosport 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Hesperange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
UNA Strassen 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Bissen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Progres Niedercorn 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Lintgen 1
Fola 3
Dudelange 2
Erpeldange 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Jeunesse Esch 4
Differdange 4
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher 0
Kaerjeng 1
Rumelange 2
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Wiltz 4
Esch 3
FF Norden 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Union Titus Petange 4
1/8-finals
Mondorf 2
Luxembourg City 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
UNA Strassen 3
Ettelbruck 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Esch 0
Differdange 2
Kaerjeng 3
Rumelange 1
Wiltz 0
Esch 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Quarter-finals
Mondorf 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
UNA Strassen 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 4
Kaerjeng 2
Rumelange 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Semi-finals
Mondorf 1
Fola 0
Dudelange 4
Union Titus Petange 0
Final
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 1