Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Mariupol II vs Dnipro II

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2010/2011 Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Mariupol II play Dnipro II in the Druha Liga 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Mariupol II averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Dnipro II averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, FC Mariupol II won 2, Dnipro II won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2012 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for FC Mariupol II and 1.25 for Dnipro II. This points to a FC Mariupol II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC Mariupol II
15%
Draws
39%
Dnipro II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Mariupol II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Mariupol II picked up more points recently compared to Dnipro II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
FC Mariupol II Clean Sheet 19%
Dnipro II Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Mariupol II Dnipro II
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.33 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs Dnipro II
1:4
Sep 3, 2011 Druha Liga
Dnipro II vs FC Mariupol II
2:0
Jun 4, 2011 Druha Liga
Dnipro II vs FC Mariupol II
1:2
Oct 1, 2010 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs Dnipro II
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Mariupol II 45 / 100
Dnipro II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Mariupol II Dnipro II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Mariupol II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Mariupol II attacking → ← attacking Dnipro II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mariupol II scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Dnipro II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

FC Mariupol II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dnipro II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 23
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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6Ch. Odesa 222106627:1736
7Skala Stryj22105726:1935
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10Nyva Ternopil22521517:5114
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PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpik Donetsk22172345:1553
2SC Poltava22153441:2148
3Kremin22134537:2043
4Stal Kamianske22107532:1837
5Kryvbas Krivoy Rog22105732:2635
6Shakhter Sverdlovsk22103925:3033
7Shakhtar 32285938:3729
8FC Mariupol II22901320:3727
9Hirnyk-Sport22641217:2922
10SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 222541318:4319
11Olkom Melitopol22521521:2217
12Dnipro II22331613:419