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FC MK Etancheite vs Dauphins Noirs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC MK Etancheite host Dauphins Noirs in the Ligue 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. FC MK Etancheite have averaged 0.54 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Dauphins Noirs's 1.35 scored and 0.77 conceded. Past meetings favor FC MK Etancheite slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Dauphins Noirs. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC MK Etancheite
20%
Draws
63%
Dauphins Noirs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dauphins Noirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dauphins Noirs come out ahead of FC MK Etancheite on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dauphins Noirs a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
FC MK Etancheite Clean Sheet 18%
Dauphins Noirs Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC MK Etancheite Dauphins Noirs
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.54 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs FC MK Etancheite
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
FC MK Etancheite vs Dauphins Noirs
1:0
Apr 7, 2014 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs FC MK Etancheite
3:0
Nov 3, 2013 Ligue 1
FC MK Etancheite vs Dauphins Noirs
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC MK Etancheite 10 / 100
Dauphins Noirs 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC MK Etancheite Dauphins Noirs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dauphins Noirs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

FC MK Etancheite's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dauphins Noirs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

FC MK Etancheite went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC MK Etancheite VS Dauphins Noirs
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC MK Etancheite

(Home)
15 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
26 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

Dauphins Noirs

(Away)
15 Apr
Dauphins Noirs
3 : 0
AC Rangers
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
28 Mar
Aigles du Congo
0 : 2
Dauphins Noirs
25 Mar
AS Vita Club
0 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
18 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 FC Renaissance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)