Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Monheim vs TVD Velbert

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lukimya A.
11' Event
Lippold T.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Hirsch T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 game between FC Monheim and TVD Velbert finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Monheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
FC Monheim
15%
Draws
26%
TVD Velbert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Monheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • TVD Velbert haven't matched FC Monheim's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on FC Monheim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Monheim Clean Sheet 15%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Monheim TVD Velbert
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.65 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs FC Monheim
2:5
Dec 8, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
FC Monheim vs TVD Velbert
7:0
Apr 16, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs FC Monheim
0:0
Oct 12, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
FC Monheim vs TVD Velbert
0:1
Apr 29, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
FC Monheim vs TVD Velbert
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Monheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukimya A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hirsch T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

TVD Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Monheim 84 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Monheim TVD Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Monheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Monheim found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

TVD Velbert has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

FC Monheim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Monheim VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Monheim

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 2
Baumberg
13 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 3
Dusseldorf II
06 Sept
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Holzheim
30 Aug
SC St.Tonis
3 : 3
FC Monheim
23 Aug
FC Monheim
1 : 0
Dingden
Page 1 of 7

TVD Velbert

(Away)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)