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Stadium Background

FC Moravia vs Cariari Pococi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Matthews D.
Penalty Missed
88' Event
Montero A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between FC Moravia and Cariari Pococi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cariari Pococi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
FC Moravia
35%
Draws
58%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cariari Pococi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cariari Pococi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 20%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Cariari Pococi
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs FC Moravia
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Cariari Pococi
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Cariari Pococi
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs FC Moravia
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Moravia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 32 / 100
Cariari Pococi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cariari Pococi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

FC Moravia scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

FC Moravia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Cariari Pococi
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
14 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 1
FC Moravia
01 Aug
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 5 4 1 0 9:2 13
2 Quepos FC 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Grecia 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
4 AD Sarchi 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
5 AD Rosario 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Santa Cruz 5 1 0 4 6:13 3
7 Cofutpa 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 5 4 0 1 9:6 12
2 Pitbulls 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 Cariari Pococi 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Aserri 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
5 CS Uruguay 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carmelita 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
7 Guadalupe 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
8 FC Moravia 5 0 1 4 3:7 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)