Sport Picks

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FC Moravia vs Carmelita

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Moravia host Carmelita in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Carmelita have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while FC Moravia have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Carmelita slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.56) back FC Moravia to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Moravia
15%
Draws
46%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carmelita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Moravia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 15%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Carmelita
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs FC Moravia
1:1
Mar 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs FC Moravia
1:1
Feb 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Carmelita
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Carmelita
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs FC Moravia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 31 / 100
Carmelita 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Carmelita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Moravia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Carmelita conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Moravia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Carmelita
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

Carmelita

(Away)
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
2 Quepos FC 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Grecia 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
4 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 8 2 0 6 11:18 6
7 Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
4 Cariari Pococi 8 3 4 1 10:8 13
5 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
6 FC Moravia 9 3 1 5 12:10 10
7 CS Uruguay 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
8 Guadalupe 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)