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FC Moravia vs Quepos FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
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Match Events

89'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FC Moravia
15%
Draws
53%
Quepos FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quepos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quepos FC come out ahead of FC Moravia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Quepos FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Moravia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 16%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Quepos FC
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Quepos FC
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs FC Moravia
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Quepos FC
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs FC Moravia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 36 / 100
Quepos FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Quepos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quepos FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Moravia scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Quepos FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

FC Moravia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Quepos FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

Quepos FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
23 Aug
AD Sarchi
1 : 1
Quepos FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter San Carlos 5
Carmelita 3
FC Moravia 1
Quepos FC 2
ADR Jicaral 1
Cariari Pococi 2
Escorpiones 2
Cofutpa 3
Semi-finals
Inter San Carlos 6
Quepos FC 0
Cariari Pococi 1
Cofutpa 3
Final
Inter San Carlos 5
Cofutpa 2