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FC Municipal Turda vs Gloria Progresul Bistrita

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Municipal Turda play Gloria Progresul Bistrita in the Liga 3 - Seria 6 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Municipal Turda averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Gloria Progresul Bistrita averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, FC Municipal Turda won 3, Gloria Progresul Bistrita won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2012 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for FC Municipal Turda and 1.18 for Gloria Progresul Bistrita. This points to a FC Municipal Turda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Municipal Turda
15%
Draws
38%
Gloria Progresul Bistrita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Municipal Turda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Municipal Turda picked up more points recently compared to Gloria Progresul Bistrita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
FC Municipal Turda Clean Sheet 20%
Gloria Progresul Bistrita Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Municipal Turda Gloria Progresul Bistrita
Matches Played 36 39
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.86 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 6
FC Municipal Turda vs Gloria Progresul Bistrita
5:2
Oct 28, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Gloria Progresul Bistrita vs FC Municipal Turda
2:5
Apr 8, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 6
FC Municipal Turda vs Gloria Progresul Bistrita
4:0
Oct 1, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Gloria Progresul Bistrita vs FC Municipal Turda
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Municipal Turda 46 / 100
Gloria Progresul Bistrita 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Municipal Turda Gloria Progresul Bistrita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Municipal Turda or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Municipal Turda attacking → ← attacking Gloria Progresul Bistrita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Municipal Turda scored in 44% of their last 36 games.

Gloria Progresul Bistrita let in goals in 87% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

FC Municipal Turda went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Progresul Bistrita lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 36
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corona Brasov30235259:874
2Olimpia Satu Mare30232557:2271
3Tarlungeni30185755:2959
4Zalau (inactive)301641044:3952
5Avantul Reghin301551038:3450
6Ariesul 1907301541143:3349
7FC Municipal Turda301531247:4048
8Universitatea Cluj II301361152:3845
9Unirea Ungheni301321548:5441
10CFR Cluj II301161348:4339
11Sanatatea Cluj301071344:4637
12Unirea Dej30961534:5233
13Vointa Livezile30871535:4731
14Zlatna30651925:6123
15Targu Mures II30442224:6916
16Gloria Progresul Bistrita30432333:7115