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FC Murom vs FC Irkutsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, May 17, 2026
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Murom host FC Irkutsk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. FC Irkutsk have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while FC Murom have conceded 0.5 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, FC Murom have won 1 to FC Irkutsk's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.81 - 0.81) back FC Murom to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Murom
6%
Draws
4%
FC Irkutsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Murom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Irkutsk lately — more wins on the board than FC Murom.
  • Win probability leans FC Murom's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
FC Murom Clean Sheet 68%
FC Irkutsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Murom FC Irkutsk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Murom vs FC Irkutsk
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Murom 95 / 100
FC Irkutsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Murom FC Irkutsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Murom scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FC Irkutsk let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Murom stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Murom VS FC Irkutsk
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%