Sport Picks

FC Murom vs M. Lipetsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

Russian Cup

FC Murom

Wed, Aug 12, 2026

1 - 0

03:00 PM

M. Lipetsk

Our Tip

Match Events

Livadnov E.

(Penalty)

Skvortsov A.

(Penalty)

Saaduev S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

FC Murom

20%

Draws

40%

M. Lipetsk

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

FC Murom have won more games recently than M. Lipetsk.
Win probability leans FC Murom's way, sitting at 36%.
FC Murom have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor M. Lipetsk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

FC Murom Clean Sheet 20%

M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Murom	M. Lipetsk
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	21	16
Draws	3	5
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.76	1.83
Goals Conceded	0.59	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Russian Cup

FC Murom vs M. Lipetsk

1:0

Nov 2, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver

FC Murom vs M. Lipetsk

1:1

Sep 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver

M. Lipetsk vs FC Murom

2:3

Jun 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

FC Murom vs M. Lipetsk

0:1

Mar 3, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold

M. Lipetsk vs FC Murom

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Murom 36 / 100

M. Lipetsk 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Murom M. Lipetsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Murom scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

M. Lipetsk has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Murom stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Murom VS M. Lipetsk

2 Goals Scored 1.63

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Murom

(Home)

25 Oct

FC Murom

3 : 1

Spartak Moscow 2

18 Oct

FC Murom

0 : 0

FK Tver

14 Oct

Ulyanovsk

1 : 0

FC Murom

10 Oct

Iskra Smolensk

1 : 4

FC Murom

27 Sept

FC Murom

2 : 0

Luki-Energiya

Page 1 of 6

M. Lipetsk

(Away)

24 Oct

M. Lipetsk

1 : 2

FC Oryol

17 Oct

Rodina Moscow 3

0 : 3

M. Lipetsk

11 Oct

M. Lipetsk

3 : 0

Saturn Ramenskoye

03 Oct

M. Lipetsk

2 : 0

Penza

27 Sept

Arsenal Tula 2

0 : 0

M. Lipetsk

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Metallurg Asha 0

TBD -

Saratov -

Khimik -

TBD -

Nosta -

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg -

TBD -

Luki-Energiya -

Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0

FK Tosno 3

TBD -

Cherepovets -

TBD -

Ural -

Kristall 2

Krasnoye Znamya 3

TBD -

D. Bryansk -

Strogino Moscow -

TBD -

Vladimir -

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar -

TBD -

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -

Bomik 1

Broke Boys 2

TBD -

Kirov -

TBD -

Kamaz -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -

TBD -

Anzhi 1

Izberbash 5

Angust Nazran -

TBD -

Maykop -

TBD -

Yenisey -

TBD -

Kursk -

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3

Salyut-Belgorod 0

Kaluga -

TBD -

Iskra Smolensk -

TBD -

Ufa -

Astrakhan -

TBD -

Mashuk -

Nart Cherkessk -

TBD -

Dynamo Stavropol -

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan -

TBD -

FK Pobeda -

Spartak Nalchik -

TBD -

Alania Vladikavkaz -

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom -

TBD -

M. Lipetsk -

TBD -

FK Shumbrat Saransk -

2Drots 2

FC Oryol 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

Chita 3

FC Irkutsk 0

TBD -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

Temp Barnaul 3

KDV Tomsk 4

TBD -

Sibir Novosibirsk -

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 3

Penza 2

TBD -

Spartak Tambov -

Kvant Obninsk -

TBD -

Ryazan -

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk -

TBD -

Saturn Ramenskoye -

Anri Vladivostok 1

Dynamo Barnaul 2

TBD -

Dynamo Vladivostok -

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

FC 10 3

Kosmos 2

TBD -

Dynamo Petersburg -

Dynamo Vologda -

TBD -

FK Tver -

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

TBD -

Tyumen -

FK Izhevsk -

TBD -

Torpedo Miass -

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

1/16-finals

Ilpar FC 1

Saratov 3

Khimik 2

Nosta 3

TBD -

Leningradets -

Zvezda St Peterburg 1

Luki-Energiya 2

FK Tosno 0

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 2

D. Bryansk 0

Strogino Moscow 0

Vladimir 3

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 2

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0

Broke Boys 0

Kirov 2

TBD -

Kamaz -

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0

Izberbash 3

Angust Nazran 0

Maykop 1

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1

Kaluga 5

Iskra Smolensk 0

TBD -

Ufa -

Astrakhan 2

Mashuk 1

Nart Cherkessk 1

Dynamo Stavropol 2

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2

FK Pobeda 0

Spartak Nalchik 4

Alania Vladikavkaz 3

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 1

M. Lipetsk 0

FK Shumbrat Saransk 1

2Drots 2

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

Chita 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 3

KDV Tomsk 3

Sibir Novosibirsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

SKA Rostov-on-Don 1

Spartak Tambov 2

Kvant Obninsk 0

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 2

Saturn Ramenskoye 1

Dynamo Barnaul 1

Dynamo Vladivostok 0

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

FC 10 1

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 2

FK Tver 0

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

Tyumen 1

FK Izhevsk 1

Torpedo Miass 2

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

1/8-finals

Saratov 2

Nosta 1

TBD -

Leningradets -

Luki-Energiya 4

Cherepovets 1

TBD -

Ural -

Krasnoye Znamya 1

Vladimir 0

TBD -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Amkar 4

Kirov 5

TBD -

Kamaz -

Izberbash 1

Maykop 2

TBD -

Yenisey -

Kursk 1

Kaluga 2

TBD -

Ufa -

Astrakhan 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

TBD -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Shinnik Yaroslavl -

TBD -

Torpedo Moscow -

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3

Spartak Nalchik 0

TBD -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Murom 3

2Drots 0

TBD -

Veles Moscow -

FC Chertanovo Moscow 4

KDV Tomsk 2

TBD -

Neftekhimik -

Tekstilshtik -

TBD -

Arsenal Tula -

Spartak Tambov 1

Ryazan 2

TBD -

S. Kostroma -

Irtysh Omsk 0

Dynamo Barnaul 5

TBD -

Chelyabinsk -

Dynamo Petersburg 2

Dynamo Vologda 1

TBD -

PFC Sochi -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1

Torpedo Miass 0

TBD -

R. Volgograd -

Quarter-finals

Saratov 1

Leningradets 2

Luki-Energiya 2

Ural 1

Krasnoye Znamya 0

SKA Khabarovsk 4

Kirov 1

Kamaz 0

Maykop 1

Yenisey 2

Kaluga 1

Ufa 0

Dynamo Stavropol 1

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2

Shinnik Yaroslavl 2

Torpedo Moscow 0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0

Ulyanovsk 1

FC Murom 1

Veles Moscow 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 2

Neftekhimik 1

Tekstilshtik 1

Arsenal Tula 0

Ryazan 0

S. Kostroma 2

Dynamo Barnaul 0

Chelyabinsk 2

Dynamo Petersburg 2

PFC Sochi 0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

R. Volgograd 0

Semi-finals

Leningradets 2

Luki-Energiya 0

SKA Khabarovsk 2

Kirov 0

Yenisey 2

Kaluga 0

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4

Shinnik Yaroslavl 0

Ulyanovsk 1

FC Murom 0

FC Chertanovo Moscow 2

Tekstilshtik 1

S. Kostroma 1

Chelyabinsk 0

Dynamo Petersburg 1

Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2

Final

Leningradets -

SKA Khabarovsk -

Yenisey -

Pari Nizhny Novgorod -

Ulyanovsk -

FC Chertanovo Moscow -

S. Kostroma -

Volna Nizhegorodskaya -

FC Murom vs M. Lipetsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia

FC Murom

M. Lipetsk

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FC Murom

M. Lipetsk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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