Sport Picks
FC Naples vs Athletic Club Boise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL 
Match Events
16'
16'
Moon N.
36'
36'
Garcia C.
51'
51'
Kostyshyn D.
Assist: Bodily B.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between FC Naples and Athletic Club Boise finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club Boise.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Naples
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Athletic Club Boise come out ahead of FC Naples on wins alone.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on FC Naples taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 14%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Naples | Athletic Club Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Athletic Club Boise
0:2
May 14, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs FC Naples
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Naples Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Athletic Club Boise Compare
Top Goalscorer Moon N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kostyshyn D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Naples 48 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Naples Athletic Club Boise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Naples Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: FC Naples remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
FC Naples scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Athletic Club Boise conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
FC Naples VS Athletic Club Boise
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Naples
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 3
Athletic Club Boise
(Away) 10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1 Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 3 Athletic Club Boise
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
