Sport Picks
FC Naples vs AV Alta FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL 
Match Events
45'
45'
Miglietti G.
Assist: O'Connor K.
47'
47'
Miglietti G.
50'
50'
Gray T.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between FC Naples and AV Alta FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Naples.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Naples
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- FC Naples haven't matched AV Alta FC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans FC Naples's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Naples | AV Alta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples
1:2
Aug 5, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs AV Alta FC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs AV Alta FC
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs FC Naples
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Naples Compare
Top Goalscorer Miglietti G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
AV Alta FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Naples 85 / 100
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Naples AV Alta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Naples Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: FC Naples remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
FC Naples's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: AV Alta FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
FC Naples VS AV Alta FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Naples
(Home) 11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 3
AV Alta FC
(Away) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
