Sport Picks
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
USA
USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL 
Match Events
13'
13'
Saydee P.
14'
14'
Cisneros J.
20'
20'
Manin R.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between FC Naples and Charlotte Independence finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charlotte Independence come out ahead of FC Naples on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 11%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Naples | Charlotte Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples
4:3
Jun 3, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
1:5
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Naples Compare
Top Goalscorer Gay H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Saydee P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Naples 10 / 100
Charlotte Independence 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Naples Charlotte Independence
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
FC Naples found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
FC Naples went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Naples VS Charlotte Independence
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Naples
(Home) 05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
15 Aug
Westchester SC
3 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
05 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
03 Jul
FC Naples
2 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
06 Jun
FC Naples
0 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 3
Charlotte Independence
(Away) 06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
23 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 0 Charlotte Independence
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55:33 | 49 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 46:24 | 47 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:33 | 41 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 44:36 | 38 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 9 | AV Alta FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 34:36 | 32 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28:34 | 30 |
| 11 | FC Naples | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 27:41 | 26 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:38 | 26 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 37:45 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:37 | 23 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30:48 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:45 | 19 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
