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FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

USA USA

USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Naples host Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC Naples have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Chattanooga Red Wolves's 1.62 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Chattanooga Red Wolves slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.81) back Chattanooga Red Wolves to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FC Naples
35%
Draws
45%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chattanooga Red Wolves lately — more wins on the board than FC Naples.
  • Model gives Chattanooga Red Wolves a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 11%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs FC Naples
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:2
May 14, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs FC Naples
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Naples 14 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Naples found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Chattanooga Red Wolves has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Naples stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Naples VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Naples

(Home)
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0
FC Naples
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0
Union Omaha
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Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1
Greenville Triumph
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 28 18 4 6 50:30 58
2 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 27 13 7 7 43:37 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 24 12 4 8 36:33 40
8 Fort Wayne 26 10 7 9 41:35 37
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Sarasota Paradise 26 8 6 12 33:39 30
12 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
13 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
14 FC Naples 26 8 4 14 29:43 28
15 Greenville Triumph 26 6 5 15 29:48 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)