Sport Picks
FC Naples vs Orlando City Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
US Open Cup Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL 
Match Events
18'
18'
Spicer T.
Assist: Ojeda B.
40'
40'
Brekalo D.
46'
46'
Sub
Brekalo D. In: Guske C.
Out: Brekalo D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Naples haven't matched Orlando City's recent run of results.
- FC Naples are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Orlando City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Orlando City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 15%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Naples | Orlando City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 US Open Cup
FC Naples vs Orlando City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Naples Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Orlando City Compare
Top Goalscorer Spicer T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Naples 39 / 100
Orlando City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Naples Orlando City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Naples Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orlando City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
FC Naples's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
FC Naples has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Orlando City lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Naples VS Orlando City
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Naples
(Home) 26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
05 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
03 Jul
FC Naples
2 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
Orlando City
(Away) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2 Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2 Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Orlando City
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
30 Aug
Minnesota United
3 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
