Sport Picks
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay vs Llangollen
Wales
FA Cup 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay in this FA Cup 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Nomads of Connahs Quay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Llangollen lately — more wins on the board than FC Nomads of Connahs Quay.
- FC Nomads of Connahs Quay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FA Cup 2014/2015 game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Clean Sheet 13%
Llangollen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Nomads of Connahs Quay | Llangollen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.86 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2014 FA Cup
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay vs Llangollen
5:2
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 84 / 100
Llangollen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Llangollen
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.
Llangollen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 10 matches.
Away concern: Llangollen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay VS Llangollen
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhayader1
Carno FC0
STM Sports0
Haverfordwest2
Prestatyn-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ammanford Town5
Sully Sports2
Llwydcoed0
Cardiff Metropolitan University9
Holywell Town FC4
Hay St. Marys2
Welshpool0
Mold Alexandra4
Waterloo Rovers2
Llanuwchllyn1
Ruthin Town2
Buckley3
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont1
Dinas Powys0
Ton Pentre0
Monmouth3
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Gresford3
Llay Welfare1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC2
Llanfair United3
Meliden3
Rhydymwyn0
Llangefni3
St. Asaph6
Caernarfon4
Porthmadog0
Penycae FC1
Guilsfield3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llangollen3
Llandrindod2
Brynford0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay1
Tiger Bay3
Trefelin2
Butetown FC2
Dynamo Aber4
Llanberis FC6
Nantlle Vale FC5
Llandudno FC0
Caersws FC1
Conwy Borough2
Holyhead0
Coedpoeth0
Denbigh3
Aberdare Town4
Barry Town2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Briton Ferry4
Garden Village9
AFC Porth0
Canton1
Risca United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor City-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion Rovers3
Cardiff Corries1
Cambrian United0
Undy2
Penrhyncoch2
Flint Town1
Gaerwen0
Llanidloes Town4
Cwmbran Celtic2
Llanelli1
Taffs Well0
Caerau Ely3
Llanrhaeadr4
Glan Conwy FC2
Kerry1
Brickfield Rangers2
Marshfield2
Tata Steel1
Chepstow Town0
Afan Lido4
Goytre Utd4
Goytre AFC0
Pontardawe0
Cornelly1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
Rhayader1
Haverfordwest2
Prestatyn-
TBD-
Ammanford Town2
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Holywell Town FC1
Mold Alexandra0
Waterloo Rovers0
Buckley6
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Penybont1
Monmouth3
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Gresford2
Llanfair United1
Meliden0
St. Asaph1
Caernarfon1
Guilsfield0
TBD-
TNS-
Newtown-
TBD-
Llangollen2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay5
Tiger Bay3
Dynamo Aber2
Llanberis FC0
Caersws FC3
Conwy Borough5
Denbigh0
Aberdare Town1
Briton Ferry5
Garden Village2
Risca United1
TBD-
Bangor City-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Albion Rovers0
Undy2
Penrhyncoch2
Llanidloes Town0
Cwmbran Celtic0
Caerau Ely2
Llanrhaeadr2
Brickfield Rangers1
Marshfield1
Afan Lido4
Goytre Utd5
Cornelly1
TBD-
Rhyl-
1/16-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC5
Haverfordwest0
Prestatyn1
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Holywell Town FC1
Buckley0
Cefn Druids1
Aberystwyth5
Connahs Q.5
Monmouth3
Port Talbot1
Bala2
Gresford5
St. Asaph0
Caernarfon2
TNS3
Newtown2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay0
Tiger Bay0
Caersws FC4
Conwy Borough4
Briton Ferry3
Garden Village0
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town4
Undy2
Penrhyncoch0
Caerau Ely5
Llanrhaeadr3
Afan Lido0
Goytre Utd1
Rhyl2
1/8-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Holywell Town FC0
Aberystwyth1
Connahs Q.3
Bala2
Gresford0
TNS3
Newtown3
Caersws FC2
Conwy Borough0
Bangor City3
Carmarthen Town4
Caerau Ely0
Llanrhaeadr2
Rhyl4
Quarter-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Aberystwyth1
Connahs Q.0
TNS1
Newtown2
Bangor City1
Carmarthen Town1
Rhyl2
Semi-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
TNS4
Newtown2
Rhyl1
Final
TNS2
Newtown0